ORLANDO, Fla. – Tropical Storm Elsa made landfall in Taylor County Florida Thursday before noon. The tropics will quiet down considerably behind the earliest fifth named storm on record.
There is one area highlighted by the National Hurricane Center, an area of low pressure right on the coast of Texas. This system has been bringing the Lone Star state heavy rain and flooding for days. The system itself has a 0% chance to develop because it is expected to remain over land.
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A quiet stretch coming
After a relatively active stretch that saw a few tropical waves, one of them eventually becoming Elsa, roll off of Africa, much of the Atlantic will enter a suppressed phase.
This doesn’t mean a storm or two isn’t possible over the next few weeks, but by and large, the Atlantic will be relatively quiet. Large scale sinking air (brown) will overspread the basin through at least the third week of July.
Thunderstorm activity increases when rising motion (green) is present.
In addition, another round of Saharan dust is emerging off of the African continent which will also help to keep the tropics at bay for now.
Late in July and early August, thunderstorm activity looks to increase again in the tropical Atlantic, increasing the potential for an active peak season.
Let’s enjoy the break!