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Right on schedule: Area to watch in Gulf of Mexico during hurricane season’s first week

Broad area of low pressure could develop in southern Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean

Tropical Development

ORLANDO, Fla. – While the pre-season streak of named storms will likely end, gradual development in the Gulf of Mexico is possible during the first week of June.

In the Eastern Pacific, Hurricane Agatha is forecast to make landfall as a major hurricane Monday on the west coast of Mexico. Typically what happens in the Pacific is not noteworthy for the Atlantic basin, but what’s left of the system could play a role in Atlantic development late week.

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As Agatha moves inland over the mountainous terrain of Mexico, its remnants will become involved in a larger gyre near the Yucatan Peninsula.

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Gradual development will be possible beyond that as it drifts to north and northeast.

If the system were to develop, it would not keep its Eastern Pacific name Agatha because the low-level circulation would have likely been completely disrupted. Alex is the first name of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. Hurricane season begins June 1.


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