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Timeline shifts slightly for possible tropical development in Gulf of Mexico. Here’s the latest

Area in Caribbean has 40% chance of development

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ORLANDO, Fla. – An area of low pressure is expected to form in the Caribbean later this week, moving into the Gulf of Mexico where it could further develop, according to the National Hurricane Center.

As of the 8 a.m. update, the area in the western Caribbean has a 40% chance of development in the next seven days.

The chances for development changed to 40%, which the NHC previously had it at 50%, due to the timetable for potential development shifting slightly later toward late week or into the weekend. Areas from the northwest Caribbean Sea to the U.S Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system.

Local impacts, if any, remain a bit up in the air with this system. Which is why it is important to find a trusted weather resource and continue to monitor the progress through the week and weekend.

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In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Kirk formed and is forecast to become a “powerful” hurricane this week. It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday. It has maximum sustained winds of 50 mph.

Behind Tropical Storm Kirk, a tropical wave south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands could develop this week and a tropical depression could form during the middle or later part of the week. It has a 30% chance of development in the next two days and a 80% chance of development in the next seven days.

Meanwhile, Joyce barely remains a tropical cyclone and Isaac became a post-tropical cyclone.

At least 91 people across several states were killed due to Helene, which hit the Florida Big Bend region as a strong Category 4 hurricane. A weakened Helene quickly moved through Georgia, then soaked the Carolinas and Tennessee with torrential rains that flooded creeks and rivers and strained dams.

The next name on the list is Leslie.

Hurricane season runs through November.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.


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