Tropical Storm Nicholas forms in Gulf of Mexico, NHC monitoring 5 total systems

ORLANDO, Fla. – Tropical Storm Nicholas formed in the Gulf of Mexico Sunday morning.

The peak of hurricane season continues and the Atlantic is blazing hot with tropical waves to watch. Even with a lot of activity around Florida, most of these areas are not a concern to the state.

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Disturbance 1: Tropical Storm Nicholas (Bay of Campeche/Gulf of Mexico)

Nicholas is expected to lift north and impact Mexico, Texas and portions of Louisiana. Some strengthening is forecast through the middle of the week. As of 2 p.m. Nicholas had 40 mph sustained winds and was moving north-northwest at 15 mph. According to the National Hurricane Center, the center may be re-forming farther north as it continues to move.

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coast of Texas from the Mouth of the Rio Grande to Port Aransas. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for the coast of Texas from north of Port Aransas to High Island.

Disturbance 2: Near the Bahamas

An area of low pressure is expected to form north of the southeastern Bahamas in a few days. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of the week several hundred miles southeast of the Carolinas while it moves northwestward across the western Atlantic. While this system likely won’t directly impact Florida, it could impact the Inspiration 4 launch from Cape Canaveral Wednesday.

There is a 40% chance for development over the next five days.

Disturbance 3: Over Africa

The wave to pay the most attention to would be the area given a 60% chance for development. This area of low pressure is expected to emerge off of the coast of Africa and move south of the Cabo Verde islands by the middle of next week.

There is a 60% chance for development over the next five days.

Disturbance 4: Near the Cabo Verde Islands

Showers and a few thunderstorms continue in association with a tropical wave located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are becoming less conducive for development, and the chances of tropical depression formation are decreasing. By the middle of the week, unfavorable upper-level winds and marginally warm ocean temperatures are expected to limit development.

There is a 30% chance for development over the next two and five days.

Disturbance 5: North Atlantic near the Azores

A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far northeastern Atlantic. This system is forecast to move south-southeastward towards warmer waters, which could allow the low to gradually acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics by the middle of next week.

There is a 20% chance for development over the next two and five days.

The next named storms would be Odette, Peter and Rose. Hurricane season runs through Nov 30.