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CONE, MODELS, MORE: Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 on path to Florida

Tropical moisture to pour on Central Florida

ORLANDO, Fla. – Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Brevard and Osceola counties as Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 bears down on Florida.


The National Hurricane Center has designated an area of disturbed weather in the Gulf of Mexico as Potential Tropical Cyclone 1.

This disorganized area of low pressure is expected to bring heavy rain and tropical storm conditions to parts of Florida on Friday into Saturday.

The National Hurricane Center has issued a tropical storm watch for Osceola and Brevard counties meaning that tropical storm conditions are expected within the next 48 hours.

Most of the impacts will occur in south Florida, but heavy rain and gusty winds will be possible in Central Florida, especially south of Orlando starting Friday evening.

What is a potential tropical cyclone?

The “potential tropical cyclone” is a relatively new designation from the National Hurricane Center. It was created in 2017 to identify areas of disturbed weather close to land that have the potential to take on tropical characteristics.

This designation allows the National Hurricane Center to create its forecasts and issue watches and warnings, even though the storm hasn’t fully developed yet, but likely will in and impact land in a short time.

The main characteristic of a tropical cyclone; depression, storm or hurricane is a well-defined center at the surface. Even if the disturbance is producing winds that meet the criteria of a depression or storm, it will not be considered tropical and receive its name (once a tropical storm) unless it has that closed circulation at the surface.

I thought cyclones were in another part of the world

That’s kind of true, but cyclones do occur across the entire world. All storms are cyclones. In the Northern Hemisphere, winds spiral inward and counterclockwise. In the Southern Hemisphere, the opposite is true. A tropical cyclone is an area of low pressure in the tropics that has a well-defined center at the surface.

In our part of the world, of course, we refer to these as tropical depressions, tropical storms or hurricanes.

In the Western Pacific, once a storm has winds greater than 74 mph, it is considered a typhoon rather than a hurricane. It is still a tropical storm when it has winds below 74 mph.

In the Indian Ocean, the storms are just called cyclones.


About the Author
Jonathan Kegges headshot

Jonathan Kegges joined the News 6 team in June 2019 and now covers weather on TV and all digital platforms.

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