ORLANDO, Fla. – We are tracking a surface tropical low over the Gulf of Mexico that is forecast to cross over the Sunshine State through Wednesday.
The low will emerge into the Atlantic Ocean by early Thursday morning.
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The setup will bring repeated rounds of heavy rain into Central Florida through the day, with even more rainfall accumulating across the region.
Heavier showers and storms will be capable of dumping a quick 1-2 inches of rain per hour, leading to widespread rainfall totals of 1-3 inches and some locally higher amounts of 4-6 inches. This could lead to minor to moderate flooding for another day.
Rain-cooled air and abundant clouds will keep temperatures below average in the mid- to upper 80s.
As the low pulls away from the area by Thursday and Friday, lingering deep tropical moisture will continue to stream into the region, with rain coverage staying high at 70-80%.
By this weekend, we should finally start to see a change in the pattern with lower moisture levels just in time for Father’s Day on Sunday. Rain chances will decrease a bit to 40-50%, with highs creeping back to near 90 degrees.
TROPICS
The same tropical low (Invest 90-L) that is bringing drought-busting rain to the area, is also being closely monitored by the National Hurricane Center as some slow development is possible while the system moves offshore into Atlantic within the next day or so.
The NHC is giving this area a low chance for development in the next several days. (10% in 48 hours and 20% in seven days).