ORLANDO, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center is monitoring three disturbances in the Atlantic and Caribbean.
An area of low pressure is expected to slowly develop this weekend in the northwestern Caribbean Sea. It could develop into a tropical depression late this weekend or early next week as it moves into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
As of Thursday at 2 a.m., the NHC has placed a 40% chance for tropical development in the next seven days.
The remnants of Gordon in the central tropical Atlantic may interact with another low-pressure area soon, which could also become a tropical depression or storm. There’s a 20% chance of development in the next two days and a 40% chance in the next week.
Another low-pressure system, a few hundred miles northwest of Gordon’s remnants, is bringing rain and thunderstorms to the central and western tropical Atlantic. This system also has a 20% chance of formation in the next week.
The NHC is particularly focused on the potential development in the Caribbean.
Both the GFS and Euro models show tropical development early next week. But there’s a high uncertainty after that time frame.
The GFS model predicts this system could pose a threat to Alabama, Mississippi and Florida, while the Euro model shows more variability in its path. The main difference lies in upper-level steering and timing.
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Without a specific disturbance to track, expect forecasts to keep changing over the weekend.
The next named storm is Helene.
Hurricane season runs through November.
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