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Tracking Milton to Florida: Cone, computer models, satellite

Florida impacts expected mid-week

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ORLANDO, Fla. – Most of Florida is in the latest forecast cone of Tropical Storm Milton, which is forecast to become a hurricane and strike the state by mid-week.

As of 11 p.m. Saturday, Tropical Storm Milton was located about 365 miles west-northwest of Progreso, Mexico with maximum sustained winds of 45 mph, moving north-northeast at 5 mph.

Tropical Storm Milton is forecast to strengthen into a Category 3 hurricane bringing the risk of life-threatening impacts to portions of Florida’s Gulf coast next week, according to the NHC.

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The NHC expects it to remain over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico through Sunday night, then move across the south-central Gulf of Mexico on Monday and Tuesday before approaching the west coast of Florida by midweek.

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Based on the latest forecasts, Southwest Florida may be directly affected.

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Latest information shows Tropical Storm Milton strengthening into a Category 2 hurricane Tuesday and impacting Southwest Florida Wednesday morning.

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[RELATED: Central Florida counties start offering sandbags ahead of expected surge of tropical rain]

Gfs
Euro

With Saturday’s forecast expected to be overall quiet, it’s a good time to clear drains, clean gutters and fill sandbags if necessary based on your risk level.

According the GFS forecast, many areas could see 4 to 6 inches of rain over the next week.

Rainfall forecast (gfs)

The EURO models suggests 4 to 8+ inches. The chances of heavy tropical rainfall are rising, and the risk of flooding may increase in the next few days

Rainfall forecast EURO

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