We have a new disturbance and the forecasts are concerning. Meteorologist Jonathan Kegges back with you for another edition of the Tropics Watch newsletter!
We have highlighted this area for weeks and now there is a disturbance to track, unfortunately. Potential Tropical Cyclone 9....potential because it’s not mereologically a tropical cyclone (depression, storm, hurricane in the Atlantic basin), but is expected to be one and impact land soon. Emphasis on the soon. Once this thing gets going through the Yucatan channel, it is expected to race until landfall.
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The steering currents are clear, but there is still some uncertainty on how they set up. More on what’s steering the disturbance here.
The biggest concern, if it does develop its inner core relatively soon is that it is forecast to move over the entire loop current, an area of extremely deep and warm water.
Hurricanes like Katrina and Michael found the loop current and rapidly intensified.
If it fends of a little shear and some dry air to its north, it could get strong very fast Tuesday into Thursday. Landfall is expected in Florida, however the exact point is uncertain.
This is forecast to be a very large storm as well so surge will be problem for the entire Gulf coast of Florida. Tropical storm conditions can extend well inland. Impacts will to all of Florida are expected to become more clear by Tuesday.
We’ll break down the tropics LIVE on News 6+ and our YouTube channel Monday night at 8 p.m. ET.
See you then!
Jonathan
There is a lot of noise out there when it comes to the weather. A lot of hype, a lot of clickbait etc. You have my word that you will never see any of those scare tactics from me and News 6. Seeing this myself makes my blood boil.
We’re going to talk about a lot of stuff (hopefully while everything remains out at sea), but we will do so with sound science and meteorology.
It is my hope to have a conversation about the weather this season and to my pass along everything I know so that you know what to look out for.
You can expect an e-mail from me every Monday (and as needed) during hurricane season. If it’s quiet, we’re going to talk about it. If there’s something going on out there, we’re definitely going to be talking about it. We also have a live tropics show that airs on our YouTube channel every Monday at 8p.m. and News 6+
Ways to stay connected this hurricane season
News 6+
If you live outside of Central Florida or don’t have cable, first of all thank you for finding the Tropics Watch newsletter!
Weather Wise
If you crave weather content, I have a show that airs Monday through Friday at 7 a.m. On News 6+ We get in-depth and hyper-local with the weather.
There is also a tropical update every morning at about 8:06 so you can see if anything is brewing.
Pinpoint Hurricane App
Even if you are outside of Central Florida download this app! This is the best hurricane app on the market and its FREE. As soon as the National Hurricane Center names something, you’re going to know about. It’s a great way to follow the season if you like doing that. Search WKMG in your app store and make sure you find the hurricane one.
YouTube
If you live in Central Florida subscribe to the WKMG/Clickorlando page.
If you love the weather whether you’re in Central Florida or not, subscribe to JustWeather!
Clickorlando.com/hurricane is also a great resource no matter where you live.
Alright. I have rambled on enough. Just wanted to make you aware of where you can find trustworthy and in-depth weather content this season.
One last thing. This is a two-way street. I/we are here for you. Any ideas? Like or hate something? Have any questions? Let me know. Shoot me an e-mail at jkegges@wkmg.com. Find me on facebook or twitter.
We’re in this together. We have families here too. You’re going to get the same info we give to them. Thank you for your trust. We don’t take that responsibility lightly.
Ok now I’m done.
Talk to you soon!
-Jonathan