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Weekend washout: Timeline, threat breakdown for big race weekend in Central Florida

1-3 inches of rainfall possible in Orlando area

ORLANDO, Fla. – Two soggy storm systems will combine this weekend bringing two days of rain starting up Saturday morning and lingering late into Sunday evening.

A cold front digging across the Midwest will continue to slide south over Florida by the weekend. On its way in models show it picking up a developing surface low in the Gulf of Mexico, sending it over Florida. This one-two punch will send deliver rounds of heavy rain across the Sunshine State, increasing rain coverage to 70-80% both Saturday and Sunday.

Scattered showers arrive by daybreak by daybreak on Saturday.

Scattered rain begins by sunrise on Saturday.

Rain becomes more widespread through the afternoon Saturday with light to pockets of moderate rain into the late evening.

Widespread rain increases through Saturday.

The on and off rain is expected through the overnight with a better chance for heavier rain into Sunday.

Heavier rain arrives Sunday as the surface low tracks overhead.

Expect conditions to remain unsettled into Sunday afternoon and evening, with the heaviest rain lingering late Sunday especially along the coast.

Heaviest rain lingers into late Sunday, especially along the east coast.

Back-to-back days of steady rain training over Central Florida could cause flooding concerns.

The amount of accumulated rain will be dependent on the exact track of the surface low as it crosses over the peninsula. GFS models shows rainfall totals between 2-3 inches through Sunday, while the EURO shows 1-2 inches. Regardless of the exact track, heavy rain and flooding will be the biggest threat.

Rainfall Model Comparison: GFS vs EURO

If you are planning on attending or hosting any outdoor events, make sure to have some indoor options planned out as the wet weather will likely impacting plans.

Inconvenient Weather Weekend due to the threat for flooding.

We will return to a drier and cool outlook starting Monday with highs remaining near to below average in the mid to upper 60s.


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